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Monday, December 24, 2007

Harrah's close to largest casino buyout


By KEN RITTER (AP)

Harrah's Entertainment Inc. has tentatively cleared the last remaining regulatory hurdle to the largest casino buyout ever. Harrah's said Monday that the National Indian Gaming Commission has approved the company's $17.7 billion purchase by private equity buyers Apollo Management and Texas Pacific Group, pending final commission review. That conditional approval means Harrah's can go forward with the deal, which is expected to close in early 2008. No further regulatory approval is required. Officials with Harrah's in Las Vegas and the Indian gambling commission in Washington did not immediately respond Monday to messages seeking further comment. Harrah's and the buyers received the go-ahead for the deal last week from the Nevada Gaming Commission, capping a 10-week campaign to obtain approvals from state gambling regulators in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Louisiana, Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana and Mississippi. Harrah's, which had nearly $10 billion in revenue last year, operates more than 50 casinos including Caesars and the Imperial Palace in Las Vegas and Bally's in Atlantic City. Indian Gaming Commission approval is needed because Harrah's operates several tribal casinos as well. The company's stock was up 51 cents to $88.84 in Monday trading. The buyout deal calls for Apollo and Texas Pacific to pay $90 per share.

Pershing boosts stake in Target to nearly 10 percent

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Activist hedge fund Pershing Square Capital raised its stake in Target Corp (TGT.N: Quote, Profile, Research) to nearly 10 percent, a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filing said on Monday. Pershing, which recently raised a $2 billion fund to exclusively invest in Target, now holds a 9.97 percent stake in the discount retail chain, up from approximately 9.6 percent in July. Pershing said it has also invested in Target swaps and options, which combined with the stock gives the fund an economic exposure equal to a 12.6 percent stake in the retailer. According to the filing, Pershing said it has met with Target's management and may meet them again to discuss the company's strategy, business, assets, operations, capital structure or its financial condition. Pershing said it has engaged financial advisers and may contact other Target shareholders. Target rose 2.2 percent to $51.81 on the New York Stock Exchange.

Ahead of the Bell: Circuit City (AP)



Analysts said Monday that the next few years are likely to be hard for Circuit City Stores Inc., which plunged following a large third-quarter loss. On Friday, the electronics retailer reported a much larger loss than analysts expected, partly due to weak sales of accessories and warranties, and it forecast a small loss in the fourth quarter. Shares dove 28.7 percent on the day, closing at a four-year low of $4.75. Goldman Sachs analyst Matthew Fassler said Circuit City is opening new stores and taking on more debt. He did not approve of the risks involved in that strategy. "The company is betting that its new units will produce before its existing stores deteriorate to untenable levels, and, moreover, that its problems reflect poor real estate, as opposed to being endemic to the core of the organization," he said. "We view this as unwise." Fassler kept a "Neutral" rating on the stock, and cut his price target to $5.50 per share from $9. He now forecasts losses for Circuit City in 2008 and 2009. Analyst Mike Baker of Deutsche Bank differed, saying real estate is a major problem for Circuit City. He said the company suffers from bad floor plans at its 400 oldest stores, many of which are in unattractive locations. "These lead to weak sales per foot, necessitating a lower cost structure, meaning that Circuit City must sacrifice customer service," he said. "This then leads to share loss." Circuit City is moving its stores to better locations, he said, but that will happen slowly because it must wait for leases to expire. Baker cut his price target to $5 per share from $9.

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Chinese fund takes $5bn Morgan Stanley stake


By Daniel Pimlott (Financial Times)

Morgan Stanley on Wednesday said it had sold a $5bn stake to China's new sovereign wealth fund and revealed that a total of $9.4bn in mortgage-related writedowns had driven it to a fourth-quarter loss, leading its chief executive John Mack to forgo his bonus for 2007. The bank said it had been forced to write off a further $5.7bn, on top of a previously announced $3.7bn charge already taken on its holdings of troubled structured credit products in the quarter. The deepening problems in the credit markets helped drive Morgan Stanley to a net loss of $3.59bn, or $3.61 a share, compared with a profit of $1.54bn a year ago. The company said it had negative revenue of $450m, down from $7.85bn a year earlier. Analysts had expected 39 cents of loss on positive revenues of $4.23bn.

The writedowns came because of "continued deterioration and lack of liquidity in the market for subprime and other mortgage related securities since August 2007", it said. Mr Mack added: "The writedown Morgan Stanley took this quarter is deeply disappointing. Ultimately, accountability for our results rests with me, so I've told our compensation committee that I will not accept a bonus for 2007." Last year Mr Mack was awarded $40m in restricted stock and options. He said the writedown stemmed from "losses by a small trading team in one part of the firm". The tabular content relating to this article is not available to view. Apologies in advance for the inconvenience caused. In order to "bolster" its capital position, the bank said it would issue about $5bn in new capital with mandatory conversion into stock to China Investment Corporation, a $200bn fund. In return CIC will be able to convert the investment into a stake of up to 9.9 per cent, but will remain a passive investor, with no role in managing the company. CIC's investment is the latest in a series of stake-building moves in Wall Street firms by Chinese groups. In June CIC bought a $3bn stake in Blackstone Group during the private-equity firm's initial public offering, while Bear Stearns in October agreed a deal with Citic Securities, China's largest listed brokerage, that will see the two groups invest $1bn in each other.

Among other significant foreign investments, Citigroup said last month it had taken a $7.5bn capital infusion from a fund owned by the Abu Dhabi government to shore up its capital after $11bn in writedowns on mortgage investments. Morgan Stanley said that $7.8bn of its losses came from subprime trading positions. It also had $1.2bn of writedowns related to European non-conforming loans, commercial mortgage backed securities, alt-A mortgages and other loans. The bank said that at the end of the quarter on November 30 it had $1.8bn in exposure to subprime, down from $10.4bn in August. Losses in its fixed income unit from the bets on the mortgage markets that went wrong were partially offset by stronger revenues from its equity trading segment, and higher fees in its investment banking advisory and wealth management services. Morgan Stanley shares were $1.59 or 3.3 per cent higher at $49.66 in mid-morning New York trading,

In Reversal, Fed Approves Plan to Curb Risky Lending



By EDMUND L. ANDREWS (New York Times)

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve, acknowledging that home mortgage lenders aggressively sold deceptive loans to borrowers who had little chance of repaying them, proposed a broad set of restrictions Tuesday on exotic mortgages and high-cost loans for people with weak credit. The new rules would force mortgage companies to show that customers can realistically afford their mortgages. They would also require lenders to disclose the hidden sales fees often rolled into interest payments, and they would prohibit certain types of advertising. Borrowers would be able to sue their lenders if they violated the new rules, though home buyers would be allowed to seek only a limited amount in compensation. “Unfair and deceptive acts and practices hurt not just borrowers and their families,” said Ben S. Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve, “but entire communities, and, indeed, the economy as a whole.” The new regulations, expected to be approved in close to their proposed form after a three-month period for public comment, amount to a sharp reversal from the Fed’s longstanding reluctance to rein in dubious lending practices before the subprime market collapsed this summer.

The proposed changes, which do not apply to standard mortgages for borrowers with good credit, stopped short of banning all heavily criticized practices in subprime lending and did not go as far as many consumer groups had sought. But they won praise as worthwhile steps from some industry critics who had long complained that the Federal Reserve under its former chairman, Alan Greenspan, persistently ignored signs of trouble.

“Reading these proposals today is almost painful,” said Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic Policy Research, a liberal research group in Washington. “These are all just simple, common sense regulation. Why couldn’t Greenspan have done this seven years ago?” If the measures had been in place earlier, they would have applied to as many as 30 percent of all mortgages made in 2006. Some advocacy groups that had warned for years about reckless practices said the Fed’s move was too little and too late.

“The Federal Reserve’s proposed guidance is riddled with loopholes and exceptions that will undermine its effectiveness,” said Deborah Goldstein, executive vice president of the Center for Responsible Lending, a nonprofit group in Durham, N.C. “The proposals fall far short of what was needed, and in some ways fall short of where the industry was already headed.” The new rules would do nothing to help the hundreds of thousands of people who are either already defaulting on subprime mortgages or are likely to lose their homes when their introductory teaser rates expire and their monthly payments jump by 30 percent or more. Soaring default rates among subprime borrowers have already caused a crisis on Wall Street, all but shutting down the subprime mortgage market since August because lenders could no longer raise the cash to make new loans. The Bush administration has pushed for voluntary agreements aimed at avoiding some, but far from all, of the foreclosures expected next year.

The American Banking Association praised the Fed’s action as “an important proposal that would make a significant difference in protecting mortgage borrowers.” But the industry group warned that some provisions might go too far. “We worry that replacing important lending flexibility with rigid formulas might also limit lending to some creditworthy borrowers.”

In Congress, leading Democratic lawmakers said the Fed had been too cautious. Representative Barney Frank of Massachusetts, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, said the central bank showed it was "not a strong advocate for consumers." Senator Christopher J. Dodd of Connecticut, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, called the proposal a "step backward." The House recently passed a bill last month that would impose even tougher restrictions on many subprime practices that the Fed addressed on Tuesday. The Senate has not acted on a bill, but Mr. Dodd recently introduced a measure with many of the same goals as the House bill.

Despite their limitations, the central bank’s new proposals would nonetheless cut a wide swath across the nation’s fragmented mortgage system. They would govern practices for all mortgage lenders, regardless of whether they are banks, thrift institutions or independent mortgage companies. And they would apply regardless of whether a lender is supervised by federal or state regulators. The most important indicator that the Fed wanted to throw down the gauntlet is in how it defined the mortgages that would be subject to special consumer protection. Under its existing rules, based on the Home Ownership Equity Protection Act of 1994, the Fed’s extra protections applied to less than 1 percent of all mortgages — those with interest rates at least eight percentage points above prevailing rates on Treasury securities.

The new rules, by contrast, invoked broader legal authority to apply to any mortgage with an interest rate three percentage points or more above Treasury rates. Fed officials said that would cover all subprime loans, which accounted for about 25 percent of all mortgages last year, as well as many exotic mortgages — known in the industry as “Alt-A” loans — made to people with relatively good credit scores. Under the new rules, such borrowers would have to document their incomes, supply tax returns, earnings statements, bank records or other evidence. Lenders would not be allowed to qualify a person based only on their ability to pay the initial teaser rate. The proposal would essentially end the practice of allowing those with poor credit to apply for “stated income” loans, often known as “liar’s loans,” which do not require borrowers to provide evidence of their incomes and assets. And it would restrict mortgages with future monthly payments beyond those that could be justified by a borrower’s projected earnings.

The Fed proposal would still leave some room for flexibility. Lenders would have to provide “reasonably reliable evidence” of a person’s income, a definition that Fed officials said would allow small business owners and others whose income may be erratic or difficult to confirm to arrange a subprime mortgage. The Fed also refused to prohibit the much-criticized subprime lending practice of big prepayment penalties. Prepayment penalties, which can cost thousands of dollars, often block people from switching to a cheaper mortgage for two years or longer. Mortgage lenders argue that prepayment penalties are often essential, because they provide investors with assurance of earning more than just the low teaser rates. But consumer groups have argued that the penalties can trap borrowers in expensive loans and that many home buyers do not properly understand them.

Under the Fed proposal, lenders would still be allowed to demand prepayment penalties, but the penalties would have to expire at least 60 days before a loan’s introductory rate was scheduled to reset at a higher level. The new rules would also make it more difficult for lenders to include hidden sales fees, which are usually paid to the mortgage broker. Many subprime lenders tell borrowers they will not have to pay any fees, or even any costs for services like appraisals, but include those fees in what is called a “yield-spread premium” on the interest rate. The Fed proposal would not prohibit yield-spread premiums but would require that a lender disclose the exact amount of the fees and have the borrower agree to the fees in writing. John Taylor, president of the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, a housing advocacy group, said simply disclosing the fees was not enough because home buyers were already inundated with a blizzard of disclosure forms to sign and can easily miss the significance of what they are approving. Borrowers “shouldn’t need to be a lawyer or financial expert,” Mr. Taylor said, “to protect themselves from unfair and deceptive lending.”

Monday, December 17, 2007

Dollar erases gains after grim home-builders survey


By Lisa Twaronite, MarketWatch

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- The dollar failed to maintain its early gains Monday, as sagging stocks and a weak home-builders index reading offset bullish U.S. fund inflow data and weak data from the euro zone. U.S. home builders remained extremely pessimistic in December, with the home-builders' housing market index at 19 for the third straight month in December, matching the lowest reading ever in the 22-year history of the index released by the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo. The reading was in line with expectations. See Economic Report. "The NAHB housing market index remained at record lows in December, which won't help dollar bulls much," wrote analysts at Action Economics. The dollar started the U.S. session on firm footing, after Treasury International Capital data revealed stronger-than-expected foreign appetite for U.S. funds in October.

The TICS report showed net inflow into U.S. financial assets was $97.8 billion, compared with a revised $32.8 billion outflow in September, and the inflow into long-term assets was $114 billion. But analysts said the data weren't enough to herald a trend reversal. "While today's TICS report is unquestionably U.S. dollar-positive, the real question remains if and when foreign investment returns to U.S. deposits and short-term securities. Continued net outflow will be an ongoing drag on the greenback and limit any corrective upside potential," said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist, the Bank of New York Mellon. Also Monday, data showed that the U.S. current-account deficit narrowed in the third quarter to $178.5 billion, or 5.1% of gross domestic product. See Economic Report. But a separate report from the New York Federal Reserve showed factory growth in the region slowed in December to its lowest reading since May.

The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of currencies, was at 77.390, down from 77.435 in late U.S. trading Friday.
The British pound was at $2.0200, compared with $2.0156 late Friday.
Against Japan's currency, the dollar was buying 112.93 yen compared with 113.35 yen Friday. The euro was trading at $1.4393, down from $1.4418 in late U.S. trading Friday, but off a session low of $1.4329.

Earlier Monday, a measure of economic output in countries that use the euro as their currency slumped to the lowest seen in more than two years. The RBS/NTC Economics flash euro-zone composite output fell to a reading of 53.3 in December from 54.1 in November, a 28-month low and the fifth drop in six months. See full story.
Stocks slump

On Wall Street Monday, stocks closed sharply lower, after Moody's Investors Services warned it could lower bond-insurer credit ratings because of subprime losses and as Alan Greenspan, the former Federal Reserve chairman, warned of a possible U.S. recession. See Market Snapshot.
Late Friday, Moody's warned that the Triple-A ratings of several leading bond insurers could be downgraded after it reviews the companies' exposure to potential subprime mortgage losses. See full story.
In televised interviews Sunday, Greenspan, the former Fed chairman, warned of the possibility of stagflation, when prices rise at the same time as the economy cools, and said there was a 50-50 chance of a U.S. recession. The U.S. Federal Reserve held its first Term Auction Facility on Monday, with the results scheduled to be released Wednesday. The minimum bid rate for the $20 billion 28-day loan was set at 4.17%, below the Fed's discount rate of 4.75%.
The auction was the first of three as part of a plan unveiled Wednesday last week, to add $40 billion in liquidity to global financial markets in coordinated steps from the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, the Bank of Canada and the Swiss National Bank. Treasurys rallied on Monday, sending yields lower.

Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Mullen reassures Israel on Iran

By Peter Spiegel, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer

TEL AVIV -- The top U.S. military officer attempted to reassure Israeli defense leaders Monday that the United States still views Iran as a serious threat to the Jewish state, even as the Israelis disagree with an American intelligence finding that Tehran ceased its nuclear weapons program in 2003. Adm. Michael G. Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, discussed the National Intelligence Estimate of Iran's nuclear program with Defense Minister Ehud Barak and the head of Israel's military in back-to-back meetings here, where the report has provoked widespread debate over American intentions. Participants in the meetings said Israeli officials took issue with the U.S. view that the weapons program had stopped, saying Iran's continued enrichment of uranium was aimed at developing a nuclear bomb. The U.S. assessment, issued last week, says the enrichment program has continued unabated, even as the weapons program was shut down. Iran has insisted that it is producing only low-grade uranium to drive civilian power plants, not highly enriched uranium for bombs. Mullen said after the meetings that both Barak and Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi, the new head of the Israeli defense staff, expressed a desire to work with the U.S. on analyzing American intelligence on the Iranian program. Mullen said he expressed similar U.S. concerns about the enrichment program, calling it the "center of gravity" of the Iranian program that needs to be stopped with the help of international pressure. He also reiterated American views that Iran continues to mislead nuclear regulators about the extent and intentions of its program.

"I wanted to reassure them that I still consider Iran a threat," Mullen said in an interview with The Times aboard his aircraft. "Their hegemonic views, their regime's rhetoric, still speaking to the elimination of Israel, is all very disturbing to me. I intended to leave the impression with them that I wasn't taking my eye off the mark."

The timing of the intelligence estimate, coming in the midst of Bush administration efforts to garner international support for a third round of U.N. Security Council sanctions, has forced the White House to scramble to reassure allies such as Israel that it has not changed its view of the Iranian government and remains committed to eliminating its enrichment program. Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, during a weekend stop in Bahrain to address a group of Arab leaders, acknowledged that President Bush and his foreign policy aides felt frustration with the timing and content of the report, but noted that such decisions are made by intelligence professionals, not policymakers. "The estimate clearly has come at an awkward time," Gates said. "It has annoyed a number of our good friends. It has confused a lot of people around the world in terms of what we're trying to accomplish." Sunni Muslim-led states in the region have grown increasingly concerned about Shiite Muslim-dominated Iran's strengthening position in the Persian Gulf, fearing it is using chaos in Iraq to boost its influence.